Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1243.696191 1409.319432 1592.057542 1809.187349 2060.856716 2344.214650 2688.579314
2025-11-02 1008.189991 1233.799515 1505.655507 1859.797051 2312.481969 2876.478834 3639.744186
2025-11-09 873.058705 1123.875074 1444.320725 1888.600329 2496.244652 3309.370502 4498.726841
2025-11-16 775.514164 1039.288951 1392.462058 1907.550161 2652.446800 3710.713122 5364.764346
2025-11-23 701.979265 973.399577 1351.639402 1927.948870 2803.035497 4113.984724 6289.072649
2025-11-30 647.368050 925.274535 1326.623106 1962.741420 2972.560519 4561.239025 7348.732273
2025-12-07 580.065676 850.171840 1252.030882 1910.440971 2995.873351 4776.796685 8057.370804
2025-12-14 523.197420 784.253929 1183.166278 1856.680668 3005.978084 4966.190302 8744.693173
2025-12-21 472.613640 722.821121 1114.439839 1793.852854 2990.245782 5104.803263 9356.505028
2025-12-28 454.108221 710.043721 1121.375192 1856.868762 3198.442383 5667.042790 10875.904604
2026-01-04 430.957276 687.320254 1109.263239 1884.649959 3345.194183 6134.274132 12289.915007
2026-01-11 407.864890 662.481992 1090.887493 1898.472048 3466.266577 6567.156594 13711.809871
2026-01-18 385.406710 637.467566 1070.989690 1909.383572 3587.374663 7027.103810 15311.474931
2026-01-25 371.179276 625.593498 1073.274792 1962.541117 3800.510780 7714.348487 17600.834234
2026-02-01 355.022311 608.765856 1064.744992 1993.211985 3970.591503 8334.705446 19869.931305
2026-02-08 338.903466 590.581585 1051.860742 2013.365771 4120.342451 8932.877113 22225.212974
2026-02-15 324.356493 574.060136 1040.500799 2035.064912 4275.940587 9569.959363 24845.195278
2026-02-22 312.752570 562.098217 1036.760055 2072.080016 4471.032673 10335.978333 28034.554966
2026-03-01 291.888168 530.798895 992.232981 2016.440845 4441.683783 10531.451812 29569.159404
2026-03-08 272.638476 501.295992 948.992497 1959.262777 4401.323258 10691.973838 31038.985264
2026-03-15 253.981137 471.724624 903.410495 1892.459383 4329.167837 10756.737134 32220.288974
2026-03-22 249.584916 470.326730 915.902508 1959.462804 4602.680197 11821.600624 37092.168298
2026-03-29 241.927735 461.737076 912.517094 1989.008380 4783.733873 12658.298322 41429.582190